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The Crash of 1929 with videos with amusing and horrific data 

 

 

1987 Crash Calculator                                  Site Map                              

 

 

Many similarities between the 2020 covid crash and the 1929 crashes can be observed.

 

A crash is coming and it could be terrific "Roger Babson" his prediction was known as the Babson break.

 

Note the corona virus is the excuse or catalyst, how this market responded to a rate cut dictates that there is a bearish

 

 mood in the air.

 

The forgotten point is that during the 2008 credit crunch crisis the problem was "fixed" by printing money thus kicking

 

 the can further up the road. Printing money will be done again and this time in a much bigger way.

 

The correct law or (procedures) of nature dictate that the fittest will survive, and the weak will not,  but we now have

 

 Japanization measures where nobody is allowed to fail and they get increasingly large bail outs from the government

 

The resulting outlook leads to hyper-inflation in prices and stock indices.

 

Just a yesterday the Federal reseverse announced a $1.5trillion stimulus package to aid the economy. 

 

 

Please note there is a danger of a major derivatives firm going bust very soon and that the credit crunch problems of 2008

 

 still exist and very much worse than it was in 2008. 

 

The reader will note that the price of gold was rising to new highs a long time before the Corona virus arrived.

 

March 13th  2020

 

 

 

Prior to 1929 crash

 

1. Easy credit makes everyone rich (See video 1)

 

2. Too many people are already long of property and stocks. (Nobody left to buy)

 

3. High leveraging is available to people, even those with poor credit ratings.

 

4. The markets become dependent on credit to sustain themselves.

 

5. The markets make all time highs 1 year before the crash.

 

 

During the 1929 crash

 

1. The inevitable domino effect sweeps through the market causing a succession of margin calls.

 

2. People try to sell, but there are no buyers. (See video 2)

 

3. Markets go into nosedive

 

4. Regulators try to stem the declines but succeed only in making things worse. (See video 3)

 

5. Regulators clamp down on short selling, and blame speculators for declines. (See video 5)

 

6. Bank runs cause panic withdrawals from banks

 

7. People rush to buy gold

 

8. All these things will happen again ...and again

 

The aftermath....continued below videos

 

 

 

The crash of 1929 Part 1

 

The crash of 1929 Part 2
The crash of 1929 Part 3
The crash of 1929 Part 4
The crash of 1929 Part 5

  

View 1929 chart, dates and scenarios

1929 data showing percentage declines and dates
 
                          


1929 crash chart


1929 data showing pe ratios,  and sinsiter observations

1929 crash chart

                               

 

  • The Average stock P-E in September 1929 was 32

  • The Average stock P-E in 1932 was 6

  • The Dow Jones fell from 386 to 40  which was an 89% decline

  • The main "Black days" were  October 24th, 28th, 29th...)

  • The worst of these being Black Tuesday the 29th October 1929

  • If history repeats itself we will be looking at the following prices in 2011

  • Dow Jones at 1250.65 in 2011, from a high of 11543 in 2007

  • FT-SE100 at 740.32 in 2011, from a high of 6950 in 2007

  • SP500 at 160.65 in 2011 from its high of 1576 in 2007

  • Most speculators were wiped out but one exceptional man named Jesse Livermore was rumoured to have made over $10,000,000 on Black Tuesday

  • A new age of austere financial restrictions come into place  in 1929, Breadlines, the great depression and mass unemployed

  • It was also noted that skirt lengths of ladies clothes correspond with how the economy is progressing. Skirts get shorter and shorter when booming and longer during economic downturns. The theory is that high wealth leads to looser morals and recessions cause people to be more conservative and hence get longer skirts. How long are the skirts you see around you this year? .....

     

     

    Jesse Livermore did very well by reading the tape, as it doesn't exist anymore you can find crash detection is easier

     

    by using some more modern indicator to spy on the large selling orders spread over time by the financial institutions,

     

    learn how here

     

 

 

 

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  • Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

 

 

 

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE DISCLOSURE

 

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. no representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

 

 

 

 

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